Tuesday, April 20, 2010

AT&T's Q1: 29.8% Wireless Data Revenue Growth

AT&T reported Q1 2010 revenues of $30.6 billion, up $78 million, or 0.3 percent, versus the year-earlier period. performance was driven by a 1.9 million net gain in total wireless subscribers, the highest first-quarter total in the company's history, to reach 87.0 million. This was matched by 29.8 percent growth in wireless data revenues, up $947 million versus the year-earlier quarter to $4.1 billion.

Some highlights:

Wireless Operational Highlights

Record First-Quarter Subscriber Gain. AT&T posted a net gain in total wireless subscribers of 1.9 million, the highest first-quarter total in the company's history, to reach 87.0 million in service. First-quarter net add growth reflects continued rapid adoption of smartphones and a host of connected devices such as eReaders, global positioning systems and alarm monitoring systems. Connected devices in service increased by 1.1 million in the quarter to reach 5.8 million, and retail postpaid net adds totaled 512,000 to reach 65.1 million.

Best-Ever Subscriber Churn Levels. Average monthly subscriber churn improved substantially in the first quarter, reaching the company's best-ever levels and marking AT&T's fifth consecutive quarter of year-over-year improvement in both total and postpaid wireless churn. Postpaid churn was 1.07 percent, down from 1.15 percent in the year-earlier quarter, and total churn was 1.30 percent versus 1.56 percent in the first quarter of 2009.

29.8 Percent Wireless Data Revenue Growth. Wireless data revenues -- from messaging, Internet access, access to applications and related services -- increased $947 million, or 29.8 percent, from the year-earlier quarter to $4.1 billion. AT&T wireless subscribers on postpaid data plans increased more than 28 percent over the past year. Total text messages carried on the AT&T network increased by more than 50 percent versus the year-earlier quarter to more than 143 billion, and multimedia messages more than doubled to approximately 2.4 billion. AT&T's wireless data revenues have nearly doubled over the past two years.

Continued Postpaid ARPU Growth. Driven by strong data growth, postpaid subscriber ARPU increased 3.9 percent versus the year-earlier quarter to $61.89. This marked the fifth consecutive quarter AT&T has posted a year-over-year increase in postpaid ARPU. Postpaid data ARPU reached $20.13, up 21.9 percent versus the year-earlier quarter, and total postpaid subscriber revenues continued recent trends, with solid double-digit growth, reflecting increases in both voice and data.

Continued Strong Integrated Device Growth. Key drivers of wireless data growth are increased penetration of integrated devices (handsets with QWERTY or virtual keyboards in addition to voice functionality) and greater usage of 3G. The number of postpaid 3G integrated devices on AT&T's network increased by 3.3 million in the first quarter, the company's sixth consecutive quarter with an increase of more than 3 million. At the end of the quarter, approximately half of AT&T's 65.1 million postpaid subscribers had integrated devices, up from 31.9 percent one year earlier.

AT&T's first-quarter integrated-device growth included 2.7 million iPhone activations, with more than one-third of the activations for customers who were new to AT&T. The average ARPU for integrated devices on AT&T's network is 1.7 times that of the company's nonintegrated-device base, and with a high percentage of integrated device subscribers on FamilyTalk plans and through business relationships, churn levels for this category continue to run well below the company's nonintegrated-device base.

Wireless Margin Expansion. AT&T delivered substantial wireless margin expansion in the first quarter, driven by continued solid revenue growth, reduced churn, improved operating efficiencies and further growth in the company's base of high-quality subscribers. Wireless service revenues increased 10.3 percent to $12.8 billion in the first quarter, and total wireless revenues, which include equipment sales, were up 8.2 percent to $13.9 billion. First-quarter wireless operating expenses totaled $9.7 billion, up 3.8 percent versus the year-earlier quarter, and wireless operating income was $4.2 billion, up 20.4 percent. AT&T's wireless operating income margin was 29.9 percent versus 26.9 percent in the year-earlier first quarter, and AT&T's wireless OIBDA service margin was 44.5 percent, up from 42.5 percent in the first quarter of 2009.

Wireline Operational Highlights

Continued Strong Gains in AT&T U-verse TV and Integrated Services. AT&T U-verse TV subscribers increased by 231,000 in the quarter to reach 2.3 million, up approximately 1 million over the past year. The AT&T U-verse High Speed Internet attach rate continues to run well above 90 percent, and the AT&T U-verse Voice attach rate increased to approximately 75 percent in the first quarter. More than three-fourths of AT&T U-verse TV subscribers have a triple- or quad-play option from AT&T.

AT&T's U-verse deployment now reaches approximately 24 million living units. Companywide penetration of eligible living units is 13 percent, and across areas marketed to for 24 months or more, overall penetration exceeds 20 percent. AT&T's total video subscribers, which combine the company's U-verse and bundled satellite customers, reached 4.4 million at the end of the quarter, representing 16.9 percent of households served.

Rebound in Broadband Subscriber Growth. Driven by strength in AT&T U-verse High Speed Internet service, AT&T posted a 255,000 net gain in wireline broadband connections, the company's strongest quarterly net adds in a year. Total broadband connections, which include business and consumer wireline subscribers and wireless customers with 3G LaptopConnect cards, increased by 278,000 in the quarter to reach 17.5 million.

32.5 Percent Growth in Revenues from Consumer IP-Based Services. Increased AT&T U-verse penetration drove 32.5 percent year-over-year growth in consumer IP revenues (broadband, U-verse TV and U-verse Voice) and a 5.8 percent increase in revenues per household served. U-verse continues to drive a transformation in AT&T's consumer business, reflected by the fact that consumer IP revenues now represent 37.4 percent of AT&T's consumer wireline revenues, up from 27.8 percent in the year-earlier quarter.

Sequential Growth in Wireline Consumer Revenues. Growth in AT&T U-verse services also has helped drive steady improvement in the company's overall regional wireline consumer trends. In the first quarter, total consumer revenues increased 0.8 percent versus the fourth quarter of 2009 to $5.3 billion, the company's first sequential growth in this category in more than two years. Versus the first quarter of 2009, consumer wireline revenues declined 1.3 percent, marking the company's fourth consecutive quarter of improved comparisons in this category.

Improved Consumer Connection Trends. In the first quarter, AT&T also posted its smallest quarterly decline in total consumer revenue connections in a year -- reflecting increases in broadband, TV and VoIP (Voice over Internet Protocol) connections, which in large part offset expected declines in traditional voice access lines, consistent with broader industry trends. Combined wireline consumer TV and broadband connections increased by 456,000 in the first quarter and 1.5 million over the past four quarters. AT&T U-verse Voice connections increased by 191,000 in the quarter and 751,000 over the past four quarters. Total consumer revenue connections at the end of the first quarter were 45.0 million, compared with 46.8 million at the end of the first quarter of 2009 and 45.3 million at the end of the fourth quarter of 2009.

Emerging Signs of Stabilization in Business Markets. AT&T posted its best year-over-year business revenue comparisons in four quarters, reflecting continued solid sales performance and improvement in key economic metrics. Business long distance revenues increased sequentially for the first time in six quarters; company managed wireless disconnects and business access line trends both improved; and enterprise service revenues, which exclude CPE, were nearly flat sequentially. Total business revenues declined 5.2 percent versus the year-earlier quarter, and business service revenues, which exclude CPE, declined 4.8 percent.

14.9 Percent Growth in Strategic Business Services Revenues. Revenues from new-generation capabilities that lead AT&T's most advanced business solutions -- including Ethernet, VPNs, hosting, IP conferencing and application services -- grew 14.9 percent versus the year-earlier quarter, continuing AT&T's strong trends in this category.

Solid Growth in Business IP Revenues. Business IP data revenues grew 5.5 percent overall, led by 16.7 percent growth in VPN revenues. Global enterprise IP data revenues grew 9.4 percent. Approximately two-thirds of AT&T's frame customers have made the transition to IP-based solutions, which allow them to easily add managed services such as network security, hosting and IP conferencing on top of their infrastructures.

Reduced Wireline Operating Expenses. Led by improved consumer trends, total wireline revenues posted their smallest year-over-year decline in five quarters, down 4.6 percent. First-quarter wireline operating expenses totaled $13.7 billion, down 2.8 percent versus the year-earlier quarter and down 1.2 percent sequentially. Wireline operating income totaled $1.7 billion versus $2.1 billion in the first quarter of 2009 and $1.7 billion in the fourth quarter of 2009. AT&T's first-quarter wireline operating income margin was 11.1 percent compared with 12.7 percent in the year-earlier quarter and 11.2 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009.

See also